Iran Deal

Who Benefits From Keeping the Islamic Republic Alive? Global question mark showing diplomacy, sanctions, security and human rights institutions linked to regime survival

Who Benefits From Keeping the Islamic Republic Alive? The International Incentive Structure Behind Regime Survival

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Introduction   Who benefits from keeping the Islamic Republic alive? For decades, discussions about the Islamic Republic have revolved around a familiar question: Why does the regime survive? The answers usually focus on internal factors. Repression. Ideology. Security institutions. Patronage networks. Control of information. Economic coercion. Political fragmentation among opponents. Each explanation contains an element […]

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Political editorial graphic showing Washington, Iran, oil markets, the Strait of Hormuz, election pressure, inflation, and a leader facing strategic crisis.

Washington’s Iran Deal Panic: When Domestic Politics Replaces Strategy

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Introduction Diplomacy or Damage Control?   Washington’s Iran Deal strategy is increasingly being presented as diplomacy. Yet behind the language of negotiation lies a growing effort to manage political risk rather than achieve strategic transformation. For months, political leaders, commentators and policy institutions across the West have framed negotiations with Tehran as a necessary mechanism

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